The U.S. stock has risen and dropped, and the U.S. SEC's account number has been hacked.

The market is still assessing the Fed’s 2024 interest reduction prospects, including timing and eventual size. The probability of reducing interest rates as early as March is slowly declining. CME’s Fed observation tool shows that the Fed’s earliest reduction of at least 25 basis points in March was 60.8%, well below nearly 90% a week ago.

According to analysts, markets are being prepared in advance to deal with what may happen, and the bond market clearly believes that the expected start of interest cuts in March is too radical. And Morgan Chase’s top global strategist, Marko Kolanovic, states that, after 2023, a series of negative factors are emerging that may drag United States performance, including more entrenched inflation, geopolitical risks, and overpurchases.

It is worth mentioning that, overnight, the SEC official SEC media account was hacked and an unauthorized post was sent, which did not actually approve a recently negotiated cash ETF for some kind of asset. This led to significant fluctuations in the portfolio, with more than $40 million worth of money running out of stock in one hour.

That is, it is weaker than the global financial crisis of 2008, the Asian financial crisis of the late 1990s, and the Internet bubble of early 2000. It is expected that global economic growth will slow for the third consecutive year in 2024, down from 2.6% last year to 2.4% this year, and is expected to rebound slightly to 2.7% next year, warning that without a “major route correction,” the 2020s will be a “decade of missed opportunities.”

On the corporate side, soon after the “mime fight” in OpenAI subsided, the relationship between OpenAI and Microsoft was targeted by the EU Antimonopoly Agency. Microsoft’s $13 billion investment in OpenAI is being investigated by the EU. The European Commission said on Tuesday that it was examining whether Microsoft’s investment in OpenAI was in compliance with the EU’s “merger and purchase” rules.

In the case of crude oil, the risk of Palestinian-Israeli spillovers and the disruption of supply in Libya continued to fuel a rebound in international crude oil. WTI crude oil increased by 1.84%, US$72.14/bbl, WTI crude oil was converted to spot premium for the first time since November last year, and Brent crude oil increased by 1.47%, or US$77.47/bbl.

According to the broker and exchange, in recent days, the Brent crude oil price differential contract, equivalent to about 30 million barrels of oil, was traded in May and June, raising the price of oil by $110 in the coming months. Ali Baba fell by 1.2%, with 1.44% per cent, the Internet by 0.74%, and telecommunications music by 0.51%, with 1.99% more.

[Global Index] On the European stock market, the UK's 100-hour rich index fell by 0.13 per cent to 7684 points. France's CAC 40 index fell by 0.32 per cent to 7427 points. Germany's DAX index fell by 0.17 per cent to 16688 points. [Global Commodities] Brent's crude oil master contract was $77.49 per barrel, an increase of 1.80 per cent; and the crude oil master contract for overnight periods was $553.70 per barrel, an increase of 2.80 per cent.

The World Bank: The global economy will see its worst five-year growth in 30 years, according to the World Bank’s latest Global Economic Outlook report, released on Tuesday, that the global economy faces its worst five-year growth in 30 years. That is, it is weaker than during the global financial crisis of 2008, the Asian financial crisis of the late 1990s, and the Internet bubble of early 2000.

The World Bank expects global economic growth to slow for the third consecutive year in 2024, down from 2.6 per cent last year to 2.4 per cent this year, and is expected to rebound slightly, to 2.7 per cent next year. In this way, the five-year economic growth rate is about 0.75 percentage points lower than in the 2010s. The previous rates were 6.2 per cent and 3.0 per cent, respectively, in 2021 and 2022.

The Fed and the White House “breathing hands”: White House Economic Advisors have spoken again that anti-inflation efforts have not been completed, and that successive Fed officials have released a signal of “rate reduction” suggesting that it would be appropriate if inflation were to fall close to the 2% target. This was followed by United States President Biden’s Chief Economic Adviser and Director of the National Economic Commission, Lael Brainard, who said that, despite the recent slowdown in inflation data in the United States, the US government’s “work” on inflation reduction has not yet been completed.

In December, Russia’s oil cut hit a record €43 billion, multi-country bond overpurchases, and investors rush to lock in higher bond yields before the central banks cut interest rates. The ECB expects to start cutting rapidly by 100 basis points, starting in April this year. On the same day, the United States Energy Information Agency (EIA) projects that global oil demand will exceed its supply of 120,000 barrels per day this year, although demand will slow in the second half of this year. The EIA expects Brent crude oil prices to be $82 and $79 per barrel for the next two years.

With Microsoft investing $13 billion in OpenAI, and holding 49% of the latter’s shares, there is no direct control over OpenAI. The three-star four-quarter profit falls by 35%, significantly below the expected sales decline of 4.9% to 67 trillion won per year, and the operating profit falls by 35% to about 2.8 trillion won per year.

An analysis predicts that the price of the three-star chip is expected to rebound further in the first half of the year. The consumer electronic spring night added another fire to AI’s fire, Alibaba Upgraded Smart Purchasing Assistant, Alibaba International Station stated that the new function of the Smart Purchasing Assistant, “in-time help”, will be visible for the first time in this CES, using AI chat robots to answer user basic queries and provide real-time insights and resources, regardless of time zone or language.

Tesla's downscaling X, S, Y, and 3-car renewal mileage estimates Tesla's downscaling X, S, Y, and 3-type replacement mileage estimates. It is reported that the Tesla website now estimates Moder Y Long Range's extension miles to 310 miles, while the government's fuel economy site lists 330 miles of the same type of continuation. Tesla estimates that Model Y's continuation mileage to 285 miles from 303 miles.

A new regulation by the National Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) of the United States requires car manufacturers to test the mileage and fuel efficiency of electric vehicles under the “default” mode of driving. Autopilots under Intel launched the DXP operating system, Mobileye Global, an Intel-based automated driving technology company, which introduced an operation called DXP on Tuesday, designed to help car manufacturers develop specific automated driving systems.

At the day's International Consumption Electronic Exhibition (CES), Mobileye CEO Amnon Shahua stated: “DXP is a driving experience platform that includes generic components needed by all car manufacturers and allows them to add their own custom components.” Shashua added that using the thousands of adjustable parameters that already exist in the DXP operating system, car manufacturers will be able to design their autopilot systems more easily without having to recommence each model.

“This will contribute to Mobileye’s business development, which will enable us to scale up.” Belet will lay off about 3% of the workforce, claiming that there has been a dramatic change in the industry, Belet will lay off about 600 employees, or about 3% of his global workforce, in an attempt to reallocate resources at a time of rapid change in the industry. Belet’s CEO, Larry Fink, and CEO Rob Kapito, wrote in a memo to his staff on Tuesday: “We see our industry changing faster than at any time since Belet was founded.”

According to senior managers, ETF has become the preferred instrument for index and proactive investment strategies, and the company is growing globally, including in Europe and Asia.